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Prediction markets
10 active markets
· category “Science”
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How to trade
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 27 - August 2?
50%
chance
Yes
No
$29K
Vol.
Aug 2
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$50
37 trading now
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
5%
chance
Yes
No
$125K
Vol.
Mar 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
46 trading now
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?
August 30
49%
December 31
48%
2 more
$1.4K
Vol.
Jan 1
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$51
37 trading now
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes August 3 - August 9?
0
47%
Yes
No
1
31%
Yes
No
NEW
$1.1K
Vol.
Aug 10
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$53
42 trading now
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 27 - August 2?
0
1%
Yes
No
1
81%
Yes
No
$30K
Vol.
Aug 3
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$31
48 trading now
How many Tornadoes in the US in August 2026?
200+
40%
100–119
26%
7 more
$533.71
Vol.
Sep 1
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$63
41 trading now
Precipitation in Hong Kong in August?
700mm+
42%
475-500mm
33%
8 more
$809.11
Vol.
Sep 1
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$60
34 trading now
August 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
50%
chance
Yes
No
$1.5K
Vol.
Sep 1
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$50
30 trading now
FDA approves Daraxonrasib this year?
69%
chance
Yes
No
$1.6K
Vol.
Dec 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$36
34 trading now
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
2%
chance
Yes
No
$578K
Vol.
Dec 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
48 trading now
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